In Newfoundland, February 2nd has traditionally been called Candlemas Day, a custom that was brought from the UK with our early ancestors. Because we live on an island, we do not have a number of animals common to much of North America, including groundhogs, so we have always used a verse to predict the weather.
Candlemas Day Verse
“If Candlemas Day be clear and fine, the rest of winter is left behind;
If Candlemas Day be rough and glum, there’s more of winter left to come”
Groundhog Day Prediction
Interestingly, that is the exact opposite of the belief about Groundhog Day. If a groundhog sees his shadow on Groundhog Day (a clear and fine day), he’ll flee to his burrow, heralding six more weeks of winter. If he doesn’t (rough and glum), it means an early spring.
According to Wikipedia, “the groundhog predictions to have a success rate of more like 37 per cent.” Perhaps that it is because it should be the other way around!